Football Prediction: Gremio vs Sao Paulo

Gremio vs Sao Paulo

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Arena do Grêmio

1.63
D W L L W L

Full Time 2-1

0.96

L W D D D W

Kick Off: 01-12-2024 20:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Gremio and Sao Paulo face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Sunday 1st of December 2024. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Gremio have scored an average of 1.73 goals and conceded average of 1.73 goals while Sao Paulo scored 1.00 goals and conceded 1.17 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Gremio vs Sao Paulo is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 52.04%

Head to Head Record - Gremio vs. Sao Paulo

Date	Competition	Match
25-10-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Gremio	- (HT -)	Sao Paulo
18-05-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Sao Paulo	2-1 (HT 0-1)	Gremio
01-12-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Gremio	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Sao Paulo
18-07-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Sao Paulo	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Gremio
21-10-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Sao Paulo	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Gremio
04-06-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Gremio	2-1 (HT 2-1)	Sao Paulo

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		25-10-2025
Gremio	- (HT -)	Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A		18-05-2025
Sao Paulo	2-1 (HT 0-1)	Gremio
Brazil Serie A		01-12-2024
Gremio	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A		18-07-2024
Sao Paulo	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Gremio
Brazil Serie A		21-10-2023
Sao Paulo	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Gremio
Brazil Serie A		04-06-2023
Gremio	2-1 (HT 2-1)	Sao Paulo