Friday 18th of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Flamengo vs Sao Paulo

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

This is Logo of Home Team: Flamengo 1.68
L W L D W W
Full Time 2-0
0.93 This is Logo of Away Team: Sao Paulo
D L L L W L
Kick Off: 12-07-2025 21:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - 1 Home WIN
Flamengo and Sao Paulo face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 12th of July 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Flamengo have scored an average of 1.88 goals and conceded average of 1.88 goals while Sao Paulo scored 1.01 goals and conceded 1.14 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Flamengo vs Sao Paulo is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 51.71%

Head to Head Record - Flamengo vs. Sao Paulo

Date Competition Match
29-11-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Sao Paulo - (HT -) Flamengo
12-07-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Flamengo 2-0 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
04-08-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Sao Paulo 1-0 (HT 0-0) Flamengo
18-04-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Flamengo 2-1 (HT 1-0) Sao Paulo
07-12-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Sao Paulo 1-0 (HT 1-0) Flamengo
13-08-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Flamengo 1-1 (HT 0-1) Sao Paulo
06-08-2022 Brazil Serie A 2022 Sao Paulo 0-2 (HT 0-1) Flamengo
17-04-2022 Brazil Serie A 2022 Flamengo 3-1 (HT 1-1) Sao Paulo
Competition Date
Brazil Serie A 29-11-2025
Sao Paulo - (HT -) Flamengo
Brazil Serie A 12-07-2025
Flamengo 2-0 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 04-08-2024
Sao Paulo 1-0 (HT 0-0) Flamengo
Brazil Serie A 18-04-2024
Flamengo 2-1 (HT 1-0) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 07-12-2023
Sao Paulo 1-0 (HT 1-0) Flamengo
Brazil Serie A 13-08-2023
Flamengo 1-1 (HT 0-1) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 06-08-2022
Sao Paulo 0-2 (HT 0-1) Flamengo
Brazil Serie A 17-04-2022
Flamengo 3-1 (HT 1-1) Sao Paulo