Tuesday 1st of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Bahia vs Atletico-MG

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

This is Logo of Home Team: Bahia 1.98
W W L L W L
SCHEDULED -
0.79 This is Logo of Away Team: Atletico-MG
W W D D W W
Kick Off: 12-07-2025 02:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for draw result - 1 Home WIN
Bahia and Atletico-MG face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 12th of July 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bahia have scored an average of 1.44 goals and conceded average of 1.44 goals while Atletico-MG scored 1.06 goals and conceded 1.01 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bahia vs Atletico-MG is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52.46%

Head to Head Record - Bahia vs. Atletico-MG

Date Competition Match
29-11-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Atletico-MG - (HT -) Bahia
12-07-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Bahia - (HT -) Atletico-MG
15-09-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Bahia 3-0 (HT 0-0) Atletico-MG
02-06-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Atletico-MG 1-1 (HT 0-0) Bahia
07-12-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Bahia 4-1 (HT 2-1) Atletico-MG
13-08-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Atletico-MG 1-0 (HT 0-0) Bahia
Competition Date
Brazil Serie A 29-11-2025
Atletico-MG - (HT -) Bahia
Brazil Serie A 12-07-2025
Bahia - (HT -) Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A 15-09-2024
Bahia 3-0 (HT 0-0) Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A 02-06-2024
Atletico-MG 1-1 (HT 0-0) Bahia
Brazil Serie A 07-12-2023
Bahia 4-1 (HT 2-1) Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A 13-08-2023
Atletico-MG 1-0 (HT 0-0) Bahia