Wednesday 30th of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Gremio vs Fortaleza EC

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Arena do Grêmio

This is Logo of Home Team: Gremio 1.53
W L D L D W
Full Time 2-1
0.81 This is Logo of Away Team: Fortaleza EC
L W D L L L
Kick Off: 30-07-2025 01:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - 1 Home WIN
Gremio and Fortaleza EC face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Wednesday 30th of July 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Gremio have scored an average of 1.63 goals and conceded average of 1.63 goals while Fortaleza EC scored 1.01 goals and conceded 1.44 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Gremio vs Fortaleza EC is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 58.70%

Head to Head Record - Gremio vs. Fortaleza EC

Date Competition Match
03-12-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Fortaleza EC - (HT -) Gremio
30-07-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Gremio 2-1 (HT 2-1) Fortaleza EC
05-10-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Gremio 3-1 (HT 1-1) Fortaleza EC
20-06-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Fortaleza EC 1-0 (HT 1-0) Gremio
30-09-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Fortaleza EC 1-1 (HT 1-0) Gremio
14-05-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Gremio 0-0 (HT 0-0) Fortaleza EC
Competition Date
Brazil Serie A 03-12-2025
Fortaleza EC - (HT -) Gremio
Brazil Serie A 30-07-2025
Gremio 2-1 (HT 2-1) Fortaleza EC
Brazil Serie A 05-10-2024
Gremio 3-1 (HT 1-1) Fortaleza EC
Brazil Serie A 20-06-2024
Fortaleza EC 1-0 (HT 1-0) Gremio
Brazil Serie A 30-09-2023
Fortaleza EC 1-1 (HT 1-0) Gremio
Brazil Serie A 14-05-2023
Gremio 0-0 (HT 0-0) Fortaleza EC