Wednesday 30th of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Vasco DA Gama vs Gremio

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio São Januário

This is Logo of Home Team: Vasco DA Gama 1.30
D D L W L L
Full Time 1-1
0.79 This is Logo of Away Team: Gremio
W L D L D W
Kick Off: 19-07-2025 22:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Vasco DA Gama and Gremio face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 19th of July 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.33 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Vasco DA Gama have scored an average of 1.45 goals and conceded average of 1.45 goals while Gremio scored 1.03 goals and conceded 1.45 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Vasco DA Gama vs Gremio is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 65.29%

Head to Head Record - Vasco DA Gama vs. Gremio

Date Competition Match
06-12-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Gremio - (HT -) Vasco DA Gama
19-07-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1-1 (HT 0-0) Gremio
29-07-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Gremio 1-0 (HT 0-0) Vasco DA Gama
14-04-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Vasco DA Gama 2-1 (HT 2-0) Gremio
03-12-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Gremio 1-0 (HT 0-0) Vasco DA Gama
06-08-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Vasco DA Gama 1-0 (HT 0-0) Gremio
11-09-2022 Brazil Serie B 2022 Gremio 2-1 (HT 2-1) Vasco DA Gama
02-06-2022 Brazil Serie B 2022 Vasco DA Gama 0-0 (HT 0-0) Gremio
Competition Date
Brazil Serie A 06-12-2025
Gremio - (HT -) Vasco DA Gama
Brazil Serie A 19-07-2025
Vasco DA Gama 1-1 (HT 0-0) Gremio
Brazil Serie A 29-07-2024
Gremio 1-0 (HT 0-0) Vasco DA Gama
Brazil Serie A 14-04-2024
Vasco DA Gama 2-1 (HT 2-0) Gremio
Brazil Serie A 03-12-2023
Gremio 1-0 (HT 0-0) Vasco DA Gama
Brazil Serie A 06-08-2023
Vasco DA Gama 1-0 (HT 0-0) Gremio
Brazil Serie B 11-09-2022
Gremio 2-1 (HT 2-1) Vasco DA Gama
Brazil Serie B 02-06-2022
Vasco DA Gama 0-0 (HT 0-0) Gremio