Saturday 26th of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Sao Paulo vs Fluminense

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: MorumBIS

This is Logo of Home Team: Sao Paulo 1.48
W W D L L L
SCHEDULED -
0.96 This is Logo of Away Team: Fluminense
L L L L W W
Kick Off: 27-07-2025 21:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Sao Paulo and Fluminense face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Sunday 27th of July 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.67 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Sao Paulo have scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded average of 1.53 goals while Fluminense scored 0.99 goals and conceded 1.23 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Sao Paulo vs Fluminense is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 56.07%

Head to Head Record - Sao Paulo vs. Fluminense

Date Competition Match
13-12-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Fluminense - (HT -) Sao Paulo
27-07-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Sao Paulo - (HT -) Fluminense
01-09-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Fluminense 2-0 (HT 1-0) Sao Paulo
14-05-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Sao Paulo 2-1 (HT 1-1) Fluminense
23-11-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Fluminense 1-0 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
01-07-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Sao Paulo 1-0 (HT 0-0) Fluminense
05-11-2022 Brazil Serie A 2022 Fluminense 3-1 (HT 0-1) Sao Paulo
17-07-2022 Brazil Serie A 2022 Sao Paulo 2-2 (HT 2-1) Fluminense
Competition Date
Brazil Serie A 13-12-2025
Fluminense - (HT -) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 27-07-2025
Sao Paulo - (HT -) Fluminense
Brazil Serie A 01-09-2024
Fluminense 2-0 (HT 1-0) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 14-05-2024
Sao Paulo 2-1 (HT 1-1) Fluminense
Brazil Serie A 23-11-2023
Fluminense 1-0 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 01-07-2023
Sao Paulo 1-0 (HT 0-0) Fluminense
Brazil Serie A 05-11-2022
Fluminense 3-1 (HT 0-1) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 17-07-2022
Sao Paulo 2-2 (HT 2-1) Fluminense