Football Prediction: Sport Recife vs Bahia

Sport Recife vs Bahia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

1.37
D L L L D L

SCHEDULED -

0.61

D W W W L L

Kick Off: 02-08-2025 21:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Sport Recife and Bahia face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 2nd of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Sport Recife have scored an average of 1.71 goals and conceded average of 1.71 goals while Bahia scored 1.00 goals and conceded 1.39 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Sport Recife vs Bahia is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 68.29%

Head to Head Record - Sport Recife vs. Bahia

Date	Competition	Match
17-12-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Bahia	- (HT -)	Sport Recife
02-08-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Sport Recife	- (HT -)	Bahia
12-09-2022	Brazil Serie B 2022	Sport Recife	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Bahia
09-06-2022	Brazil Serie B 2022	Bahia	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Sport Recife

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		17-12-2025
Bahia	- (HT -)	Sport Recife
Brazil Serie A		02-08-2025
Sport Recife	- (HT -)	Bahia
Brazil Serie B		12-09-2022
Sport Recife	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Bahia
Brazil Serie B		09-06-2022
Bahia	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Sport Recife