Football Prediction: Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG

Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio São Januário

1.33
L W L L W L

SCHEDULED -

0.69

L W W D D W

Kick Off: 09-08-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Vasco DA Gama and Atletico-MG face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 9th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Vasco DA Gama have scored an average of 1.45 goals and conceded average of 1.45 goals while Atletico-MG scored 1.06 goals and conceded 1.02 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 67.31%

Head to Head Record - Vasco DA Gama vs. Atletico-MG

Date	Competition	Match
21-12-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Atletico-MG	- (HT -)	Vasco DA Gama
09-08-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Vasco DA Gama	- (HT -)	Atletico-MG
04-12-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Vasco DA Gama	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Atletico-MG
21-07-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Atletico-MG	2-0 (HT 2-0)	Vasco DA Gama
20-08-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Vasco DA Gama	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Atletico-MG
16-04-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Atletico-MG	1-2 (HT 1-2)	Vasco DA Gama

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		21-12-2025
Atletico-MG	- (HT -)	Vasco DA Gama
Brazil Serie A		09-08-2025
Vasco DA Gama	- (HT -)	Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A		04-12-2024
Vasco DA Gama	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A		21-07-2024
Atletico-MG	2-0 (HT 2-0)	Vasco DA Gama
Brazil Serie A		20-08-2023
Vasco DA Gama	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A		16-04-2023
Atletico-MG	1-2 (HT 1-2)	Vasco DA Gama