Football Prediction: Sao Paulo vs Vitoria

Sao Paulo vs Vitoria

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: MorumBIS

1.63
W W W D L L

SCHEDULED -

0.97

D D W D L D

Kick Off: 09-08-2025 23:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Sao Paulo and Vitoria face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 9th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Sao Paulo have scored an average of 1.55 goals and conceded average of 1.55 goals while Vitoria scored 1.02 goals and conceded 1.34 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Sao Paulo vs Vitoria is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 51.78%

Head to Head Record - Sao Paulo vs. Vitoria

Date	Competition	Match
21-12-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Vitoria	- (HT -)	Sao Paulo
09-08-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Sao Paulo	- (HT -)	Vitoria
25-08-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Sao Paulo	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Vitoria
05-05-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Vitoria	1-3 (HT 0-1)	Sao Paulo

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		21-12-2025
Vitoria	- (HT -)	Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A		09-08-2025
Sao Paulo	- (HT -)	Vitoria
Brazil Serie A		25-08-2024
Sao Paulo	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Vitoria
Brazil Serie A		05-05-2024
Vitoria	1-3 (HT 0-1)	Sao Paulo