Football Prediction: Gremio vs Sport Recife

Gremio vs Sport Recife

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Arena do Grêmio

1.95
W L D L D W

SCHEDULED -

0.57

D D L L L D

Kick Off: 11-08-2025 01:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Gremio and Sport Recife face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Monday 11th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Gremio have scored an average of 1.64 goals and conceded average of 1.64 goals while Sport Recife scored 0.80 goals and conceded 1.22 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Gremio vs Sport Recife is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.82%

Head to Head Record - Gremio vs. Sport Recife

Date	Competition	Match
21-12-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Sport Recife	- (HT -)	Gremio
11-08-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Gremio	- (HT -)	Sport Recife
20-09-2022	Brazil Serie B 2022	Gremio	3-0 (HT 0-0)	Sport Recife
13-06-2022	Brazil Serie B 2022	Sport Recife	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Gremio

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		21-12-2025
Sport Recife	- (HT -)	Gremio
Brazil Serie A		11-08-2025
Gremio	- (HT -)	Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B		20-09-2022
Gremio	3-0 (HT 0-0)	Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B		13-06-2022
Sport Recife	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Gremio