Football Prediction: Corinthians vs Bahia

Corinthians vs Bahia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Neo Química Arena

1.62
D D L W L D

SCHEDULED -

1.46

W D W W W L

Kick Off: 17-08-2025 02:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Corinthians and Bahia face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Sunday 17th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Corinthians have scored an average of 1.48 goals and conceded average of 1.48 goals while Bahia scored 1.00 goals and conceded 1.39 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Corinthians vs Bahia is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59.63%

Head to Head Record - Corinthians vs. Bahia

Date	Competition	Match
17-08-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Corinthians	- (HT -)	Bahia
31-03-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Bahia	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Corinthians
04-12-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Corinthians	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Bahia
21-07-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Bahia	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Corinthians
25-11-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Corinthians	1-5 (HT 0-3)	Bahia
22-07-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Bahia	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Corinthians

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		17-08-2025
Corinthians	- (HT -)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		31-03-2025
Bahia	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Corinthians
Brazil Serie A		04-12-2024
Corinthians	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		21-07-2024
Bahia	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Corinthians
Brazil Serie A		25-11-2023
Corinthians	1-5 (HT 0-3)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		22-07-2023
Bahia	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Corinthians