Tuesday 15th of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: MorumBIS

This is Logo of Home Team: Sao Paulo 1.30
L L L W L W
SCHEDULED -
1.32 This is Logo of Away Team: Atletico-MG
L W W D D W
Kick Off: 23-08-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Sao Paulo and Atletico-MG face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 23rd of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.33 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Sao Paulo have scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded average of 1.53 goals while Atletico-MG scored 1.06 goals and conceded 1.02 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 51.42%

Head to Head Record - Sao Paulo vs. Atletico-MG

Date Competition Match
23-08-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Sao Paulo - (HT -) Atletico-MG
06-04-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Atletico-MG 0-0 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
24-11-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Sao Paulo 2-2 (HT 2-2) Atletico-MG
12-07-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Atletico-MG 2-1 (HT 2-1) Sao Paulo
03-12-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Atletico-MG 2-1 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
06-08-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Sao Paulo 0-2 (HT 0-1) Atletico-MG
02-11-2022 Brazil Serie A 2022 Sao Paulo 2-2 (HT 2-1) Atletico-MG
10-07-2022 Brazil Serie A 2022 Atletico-MG 0-0 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
Competition Date
Brazil Serie A 23-08-2025
Sao Paulo - (HT -) Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A 06-04-2025
Atletico-MG 0-0 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 24-11-2024
Sao Paulo 2-2 (HT 2-2) Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A 12-07-2024
Atletico-MG 2-1 (HT 2-1) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 03-12-2023
Atletico-MG 2-1 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 06-08-2023
Sao Paulo 0-2 (HT 0-1) Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A 02-11-2022
Sao Paulo 2-2 (HT 2-1) Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A 10-07-2022
Atletico-MG 0-0 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo