Football Prediction: Bahia vs Santos

Bahia vs Santos

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

1.26
W W L L W L

SCHEDULED -

1.24

W L W L D L

Kick Off: 23-08-2025 02:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Bahia and Santos face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 23rd of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bahia have scored an average of 1.44 goals and conceded average of 1.44 goals while Santos scored 0.91 goals and conceded 1.34 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bahia vs Santos is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 54.38%

Head to Head Record - Bahia vs. Santos

Date	Competition	Match
23-08-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Bahia	- (HT -)	Santos
07-04-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Santos	2-2 (HT 0-1)	Bahia
18-09-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Bahia	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Santos
10-05-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Santos	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Bahia

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		23-08-2025
Bahia	- (HT -)	Santos
Brazil Serie A		07-04-2025
Santos	2-2 (HT 0-1)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		18-09-2023
Bahia	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Santos
Brazil Serie A		10-05-2023
Santos	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Bahia