Football Prediction: Santos vs Sao Paulo

Santos vs Sao Paulo

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Urbano Caldeira

1.05
W W L W L D

SCHEDULED -

0.68

D L L L W L

Kick Off: 20-09-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Santos and Sao Paulo face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 20th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Santos have scored an average of 1.49 goals and conceded average of 1.49 goals while Sao Paulo scored 1.01 goals and conceded 1.17 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Santos vs Sao Paulo is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 74.80%

Head to Head Record - Santos vs. Sao Paulo

Date	Competition	Match
20-09-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Santos	- (HT -)	Sao Paulo
20-04-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Sao Paulo	2-1 (HT 2-1)	Santos
12-11-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Santos	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Sao Paulo
16-07-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Sao Paulo	4-1 (HT 2-0)	Santos
21-08-2022	Brazil Serie A 2022	Santos	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Sao Paulo
02-05-2022	Brazil Serie A 2022	Sao Paulo	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Santos

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		20-09-2025
Santos	- (HT -)	Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A		20-04-2025
Sao Paulo	2-1 (HT 2-1)	Santos
Brazil Serie A		12-11-2023
Santos	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A		16-07-2023
Sao Paulo	4-1 (HT 2-0)	Santos
Brazil Serie A		21-08-2022
Santos	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A		02-05-2022
Sao Paulo	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Santos