Football Prediction: Sao Paulo vs Ceara

Sao Paulo vs Ceara

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: MorumBIS

1.61
L L W L W D

SCHEDULED -

1.31

L L W D W D

Kick Off: 27-09-2025 02:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Sao Paulo and Ceara face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 27th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Sao Paulo have scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded average of 1.53 goals while Ceara scored 1.02 goals and conceded 1.29 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Sao Paulo vs Ceara is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.69%

Head to Head Record - Sao Paulo vs. Ceara

Date	Competition	Match
27-09-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Sao Paulo	- (HT -)	Ceara
26-04-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Ceara	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Sao Paulo
18-09-2022	Brazil Serie A 2022	Ceara	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Sao Paulo
28-05-2022	Brazil Serie A 2022	Sao Paulo	2-2 (HT 2-1)	Ceara

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		27-09-2025
Sao Paulo	- (HT -)	Ceara
Brazil Serie A		26-04-2025
Ceara	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A		18-09-2022
Ceara	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A		28-05-2022
Sao Paulo	2-2 (HT 2-1)	Ceara