Football Prediction: Bahia vs Palmeiras

Bahia vs Palmeiras

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

1.13
W D W W W L

SCHEDULED -

1.16

W W W D L D

Kick Off: 27-09-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Bahia and Palmeiras face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 27th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bahia have scored an average of 1.47 goals and conceded average of 1.47 goals while Palmeiras scored 1.68 goals and conceded 0.92 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bahia vs Palmeiras is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 59.90%

Head to Head Record - Bahia vs. Palmeiras

Date	Competition	Match
27-09-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Bahia	- (HT -)	Palmeiras
27-04-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Palmeiras	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Bahia
20-11-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Bahia	1-2 (HT 1-1)	Palmeiras
07-07-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Palmeiras	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Bahia
28-10-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Palmeiras	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Bahia
22-06-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Bahia	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Palmeiras

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		27-09-2025
Bahia	- (HT -)	Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A		27-04-2025
Palmeiras	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		20-11-2024
Bahia	1-2 (HT 1-1)	Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A		07-07-2024
Palmeiras	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		28-10-2023
Palmeiras	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		22-06-2023
Bahia	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Palmeiras