Football Prediction: Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife

Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

0.90
L W D L L L

SCHEDULED -

0.53

D D L L L D

Kick Off: 27-09-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Fortaleza EC and Sport Recife face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 27th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Fortaleza EC have scored an average of 1.48 goals and conceded average of 1.48 goals while Sport Recife scored 0.80 goals and conceded 1.22 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 82.58%

Head to Head Record - Fortaleza EC vs. Sport Recife

Date	Competition	Match
27-09-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Fortaleza EC	- (HT -)	Sport Recife
27-04-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Sport Recife	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Fortaleza EC

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		27-09-2025
Fortaleza EC	- (HT -)	Sport Recife
Brazil Serie A		27-04-2025
Sport Recife	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Fortaleza EC