Football Prediction: Botafogo vs Bahia

Botafogo vs Bahia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos

1.70
D W D L W W

SCHEDULED -

0.95

W W W L L W

Kick Off: 01-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Botafogo and Bahia face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Wednesday 1st of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Botafogo have scored an average of 1.69 goals and conceded average of 1.69 goals while Bahia scored 1.00 goals and conceded 1.40 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Botafogo vs Bahia is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.76%

Head to Head Record - Botafogo vs. Bahia

Date	Competition	Match
01-10-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Botafogo	- (HT -)	Bahia
04-05-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Bahia	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Botafogo
25-08-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Bahia	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Botafogo
05-05-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Botafogo	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Bahia
27-08-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Botafogo	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Bahia
24-04-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Bahia	1-2 (HT 1-1)	Botafogo

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		01-10-2025
Botafogo	- (HT -)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		04-05-2025
Bahia	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Botafogo
Brazil Serie A		25-08-2024
Bahia	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Botafogo
Brazil Serie A		05-05-2024
Botafogo	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		27-08-2023
Botafogo	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		24-04-2023
Bahia	1-2 (HT 1-1)	Botafogo