Football Prediction: Vitoria vs Ceara

Vitoria vs Ceara

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas

1.20
D D W D L D

SCHEDULED -

0.61

W L L L W L

Kick Off: 01-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Vitoria and Ceara face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Wednesday 1st of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Vitoria have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Ceara scored 1.02 goals and conceded 1.26 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Vitoria vs Ceara is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 72.80%

Head to Head Record - Vitoria vs. Ceara

Date	Competition	Match
01-10-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Vitoria	- (HT -)	Ceara
03-05-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Ceara	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Vitoria
13-08-2023	Brazil Serie B 2023	Vitoria	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Ceara
10-05-2023	Brazil Serie B 2023	Ceara	0-2 (HT 0-0)	Vitoria

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		01-10-2025
Vitoria	- (HT -)	Ceara
Brazil Serie A		03-05-2025
Ceara	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Vitoria
Brazil Serie B		13-08-2023
Vitoria	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Ceara
Brazil Serie B		10-05-2023
Ceara	0-2 (HT 0-0)	Vitoria