Football Prediction: Santos vs Gremio

Santos vs Gremio

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Urbano Caldeira

1.98
L L W W D L

SCHEDULED -

1.54

D W L L W L

Kick Off: 02-10-2025 02:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Santos and Gremio face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Thursday 2nd of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Santos have scored an average of 1.48 goals and conceded average of 1.48 goals while Gremio scored 1.03 goals and conceded 1.42 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Santos vs Gremio is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.32%

Head to Head Record - Santos vs. Gremio

Date	Competition	Match
02-10-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Santos	- (HT -)	Gremio
04-05-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Gremio	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Santos
20-08-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Santos	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Gremio
16-04-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Gremio	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Santos

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		02-10-2025
Santos	- (HT -)	Gremio
Brazil Serie A		04-05-2025
Gremio	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Santos
Brazil Serie A		20-08-2023
Santos	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Gremio
Brazil Serie A		16-04-2023
Gremio	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Santos