Wednesday 30th of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Fluminense vs Atletico-MG

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

This is Logo of Home Team: Fluminense 1.65
L L L L L W
SCHEDULED -
1.17 This is Logo of Away Team: Atletico-MG
L L L W W D
Kick Off: 16-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for draw result - 1 Home WIN
Fluminense and Atletico-MG face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Thursday 16th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.25 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Fluminense have scored an average of 1.67 goals and conceded average of 1.67 goals while Atletico-MG scored 1.06 goals and conceded 1.05 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Fluminense vs Atletico-MG is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.65%

Head to Head Record - Fluminense vs. Atletico-MG

Date Competition Match
16-10-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Fluminense - (HT -) Atletico-MG
11-05-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Atletico-MG 3-2 (HT 0-0) Fluminense
26-09-2024 Brazil CONMEBOL Libertadores 2024 Atletico-MG 2-0 (HT 0-0) Fluminense
19-09-2024 Brazil CONMEBOL Libertadores 2024 Fluminense 1-0 (HT 0-0) Atletico-MG
25-08-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Atletico-MG 0-2 (HT 0-1) Fluminense
04-05-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Fluminense 2-2 (HT 1-0) Atletico-MG
29-10-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Atletico-MG 2-0 (HT 0-0) Fluminense
22-06-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Fluminense 1-1 (HT 1-1) Atletico-MG
01-10-2022 Brazil Serie A 2022 Atletico-MG 2-0 (HT 1-0) Fluminense
09-06-2022 Brazil Serie A 2022 Fluminense 5-3 (HT 3-2) Atletico-MG
Competition Date
Brazil Serie A 16-10-2025
Fluminense - (HT -) Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A 11-05-2025
Atletico-MG 3-2 (HT 0-0) Fluminense
Brazil CONMEBOL Libertadores 26-09-2024
Atletico-MG 2-0 (HT 0-0) Fluminense
Brazil CONMEBOL Libertadores 19-09-2024
Fluminense 1-0 (HT 0-0) Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A 25-08-2024
Atletico-MG 0-2 (HT 0-1) Fluminense
Brazil Serie A 04-05-2024
Fluminense 2-2 (HT 1-0) Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A 29-10-2023
Atletico-MG 2-0 (HT 0-0) Fluminense
Brazil Serie A 22-06-2023
Fluminense 1-1 (HT 1-1) Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A 01-10-2022
Atletico-MG 2-0 (HT 1-0) Fluminense
Brazil Serie A 09-06-2022
Fluminense 5-3 (HT 3-2) Atletico-MG