Thursday 31st of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: MorumBIS

This is Logo of Home Team: Sao Paulo 0.93
W W W D L L
SCHEDULED -
1.30 This is Logo of Away Team: Palmeiras
W W W D L D
Kick Off: 16-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Sao Paulo and Palmeiras face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Thursday 16th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.33 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.33 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Sao Paulo have scored an average of 1.55 goals and conceded average of 1.55 goals while Palmeiras scored 1.68 goals and conceded 0.92 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 61.31%

Head to Head Record - Sao Paulo vs. Palmeiras

Date Competition Match
16-10-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Sao Paulo - (HT -) Palmeiras
11-05-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Palmeiras 1-0 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
18-08-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Palmeiras 2-1 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
30-04-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Sao Paulo 0-0 (HT 0-0) Palmeiras
25-10-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Palmeiras 5-0 (HT 3-0) Sao Paulo
11-06-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Sao Paulo 0-2 (HT 0-1) Palmeiras
16-10-2022 Brazil Serie A 2022 Palmeiras 0-0 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
20-06-2022 Brazil Serie A 2022 Sao Paulo 1-2 (HT 1-0) Palmeiras
Competition Date
Brazil Serie A 16-10-2025
Sao Paulo - (HT -) Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A 11-05-2025
Palmeiras 1-0 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 18-08-2024
Palmeiras 2-1 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 30-04-2024
Sao Paulo 0-0 (HT 0-0) Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A 25-10-2023
Palmeiras 5-0 (HT 3-0) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 11-06-2023
Sao Paulo 0-2 (HT 0-1) Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A 16-10-2022
Palmeiras 0-0 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 20-06-2022
Sao Paulo 1-2 (HT 1-0) Palmeiras