Football Prediction: Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife

Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

1.53
W D W W D W

SCHEDULED -

0.83

L D L L L D

Kick Off: 16-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Cruzeiro and Sport Recife face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Thursday 16th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Cruzeiro have scored an average of 1.39 goals and conceded average of 1.39 goals while Sport Recife scored 0.79 goals and conceded 1.19 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 58.04%

Head to Head Record - Cruzeiro vs. Sport Recife

Date	Competition	Match
16-10-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Cruzeiro	- (HT -)	Sport Recife
11-05-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Sport Recife	0-4 (HT 0-3)	Cruzeiro
09-10-2022	Brazil Serie B 2022	Sport Recife	3-1 (HT 2-0)	Cruzeiro
29-06-2022	Brazil Serie B 2022	Cruzeiro	2-1 (HT 2-1)	Sport Recife

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		16-10-2025
Cruzeiro	- (HT -)	Sport Recife
Brazil Serie A		11-05-2025
Sport Recife	0-4 (HT 0-3)	Cruzeiro
Brazil Serie B		09-10-2022
Sport Recife	3-1 (HT 2-0)	Cruzeiro
Brazil Serie B		29-06-2022
Cruzeiro	2-1 (HT 2-1)	Sport Recife