Football Prediction: Bahia vs Flamengo

Bahia vs Flamengo

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

1.20
W W W L L W

SCHEDULED -

1.57

W L D W W W

Kick Off: 16-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Away WIN

Bahia and Flamengo face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Thursday 16th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bahia have scored an average of 1.45 goals and conceded average of 1.45 goals while Flamengo scored 1.41 goals and conceded 1.14 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bahia vs Flamengo is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52.29%

Head to Head Record - Bahia vs. Flamengo

Date	Competition	Match
16-10-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Bahia	- (HT -)	Flamengo
11-05-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Flamengo	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Bahia
06-10-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Bahia	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Flamengo
21-06-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Flamengo	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Bahia
30-09-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Flamengo	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Bahia
13-05-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Bahia	2-3 (HT 1-3)	Flamengo

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		16-10-2025
Bahia	- (HT -)	Flamengo
Brazil Serie A		11-05-2025
Flamengo	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		06-10-2024
Bahia	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Flamengo
Brazil Serie A		21-06-2024
Flamengo	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		30-09-2023
Flamengo	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		13-05-2023
Bahia	2-3 (HT 1-3)	Flamengo