Thursday 31st of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Bahia vs Gremio

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

This is Logo of Home Team: Bahia 1.19
W D W W W L
SCHEDULED -
0.83 This is Logo of Away Team: Gremio
W L D L D W
Kick Off: 05-11-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Bahia and Gremio face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Wednesday 5th of November 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.67 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.67 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bahia have scored an average of 1.47 goals and conceded average of 1.47 goals while Gremio scored 1.01 goals and conceded 1.43 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bahia vs Gremio is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 67.18%

Head to Head Record - Bahia vs. Gremio

Date Competition Match
05-11-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Bahia - (HT -) Gremio
25-05-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Gremio 1-0 (HT 0-0) Bahia
17-08-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Gremio 0-2 (HT 0-1) Bahia
28-04-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Bahia 1-0 (HT 1-0) Gremio
04-11-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Gremio 1-0 (HT 0-0) Bahia
01-07-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Bahia 1-2 (HT 1-1) Gremio
16-10-2022 Brazil Serie B 2022 Gremio 1-1 (HT 0-1) Bahia
03-07-2022 Brazil Serie B 2022 Bahia 0-0 (HT 0-0) Gremio
Competition Date
Brazil Serie A 05-11-2025
Bahia - (HT -) Gremio
Brazil Serie A 25-05-2025
Gremio 1-0 (HT 0-0) Bahia
Brazil Serie A 17-08-2024
Gremio 0-2 (HT 0-1) Bahia
Brazil Serie A 28-04-2024
Bahia 1-0 (HT 1-0) Gremio
Brazil Serie A 04-11-2023
Gremio 1-0 (HT 0-0) Bahia
Brazil Serie A 01-07-2023
Bahia 1-2 (HT 1-1) Gremio
Brazil Serie B 16-10-2022
Gremio 1-1 (HT 0-1) Bahia
Brazil Serie B 03-07-2022
Bahia 0-0 (HT 0-0) Gremio