Football Prediction: Sao Paulo vs Bahia

Sao Paulo vs Bahia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: MorumBIS

1.47
D L L L W L

SCHEDULED -

0.80

W W W L L W

Kick Off: 19-11-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Sao Paulo and Bahia face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Wednesday 19th of November 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Sao Paulo have scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded average of 1.53 goals while Bahia scored 1.00 goals and conceded 1.40 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Sao Paulo vs Bahia is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.24%

Head to Head Record - Sao Paulo vs. Bahia

Date	Competition	Match
19-11-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Sao Paulo	- (HT -)	Bahia
31-05-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Bahia	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Sao Paulo
06-11-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Bahia	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Sao Paulo
30-06-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Sao Paulo	3-1 (HT 2-0)	Bahia
29-11-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Bahia	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Sao Paulo
30-07-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Sao Paulo	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Bahia

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		19-11-2025
Sao Paulo	- (HT -)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		31-05-2025
Bahia	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A		06-11-2024
Bahia	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A		30-06-2024
Sao Paulo	3-1 (HT 2-0)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		29-11-2023
Bahia	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A		30-07-2023
Sao Paulo	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Bahia