Tuesday 8th of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio São Januário

This is Logo of Home Team: Vasco DA Gama 1.54
W L L W L L
SCHEDULED -
0.83 This is Logo of Away Team: Sao Paulo
L L W L W D
Kick Off: 22-11-2025 01:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - 1 Home WIN
Vasco DA Gama and Sao Paulo face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 22nd of November 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Vasco DA Gama have scored an average of 1.48 goals and conceded average of 1.48 goals while Sao Paulo scored 1.01 goals and conceded 1.14 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.69%

Head to Head Record - Vasco DA Gama vs. Sao Paulo

Date Competition Match
22-11-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Vasco DA Gama - (HT -) Sao Paulo
13-06-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Sao Paulo 1-3 (HT 0-2) Vasco DA Gama
17-10-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Sao Paulo 3-0 (HT 1-0) Vasco DA Gama
23-06-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Vasco DA Gama 4-1 (HT 2-1) Sao Paulo
07-10-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Vasco DA Gama 0-0 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
20-05-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Sao Paulo 4-2 (HT 2-1) Vasco DA Gama
Competition Date
Brazil Serie A 22-11-2025
Vasco DA Gama - (HT -) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 13-06-2025
Sao Paulo 1-3 (HT 0-2) Vasco DA Gama
Brazil Serie A 17-10-2024
Sao Paulo 3-0 (HT 1-0) Vasco DA Gama
Brazil Serie A 23-06-2024
Vasco DA Gama 4-1 (HT 2-1) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 07-10-2023
Vasco DA Gama 0-0 (HT 0-0) Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 20-05-2023
Sao Paulo 4-2 (HT 2-1) Vasco DA Gama