Football Prediction: Corinthians vs Gremio

Corinthians vs Gremio

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Neo Química Arena

2.21
L L D D D L

SCHEDULED -

2.10

W L L W L D

Kick Off: 22-11-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Corinthians and Gremio face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 22nd of November 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 3.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Corinthians have scored an average of 1.47 goals and conceded average of 1.47 goals while Gremio scored 1.03 goals and conceded 1.42 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Corinthians vs Gremio is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62.50%

Head to Head Record - Corinthians vs. Gremio

Date	Competition	Match
22-11-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Corinthians	- (HT -)	Gremio
13-06-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Gremio	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Corinthians
08-12-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Gremio	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Corinthians
26-07-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Corinthians	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Gremio
12-11-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Gremio	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Corinthians
19-09-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Corinthians	4-4 (HT 3-2)	Gremio

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		22-11-2025
Corinthians	- (HT -)	Gremio
Brazil Serie A		13-06-2025
Gremio	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Corinthians
Brazil Serie A		08-12-2024
Gremio	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Corinthians
Brazil Serie A		26-07-2024
Corinthians	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Gremio
Brazil Serie A		12-11-2023
Gremio	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Corinthians
Brazil Serie A		19-09-2023
Corinthians	4-4 (HT 3-2)	Gremio