Football Prediction: Ceara vs Fortaleza EC

Ceara vs Fortaleza EC

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

0.91
W L L L W L

SCHEDULED -

0.98

L W D L L L

Kick Off: 29-11-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Ceara and Fortaleza EC face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 29th of November 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Ceara have scored an average of 1.28 goals and conceded average of 1.28 goals while Fortaleza EC scored 1.01 goals and conceded 1.45 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Ceara vs Fortaleza EC is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 70.54%

Head to Head Record - Ceara vs. Fortaleza EC

Date	Competition	Match
29-11-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Ceara	- (HT -)	Fortaleza EC
14-07-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Fortaleza EC	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Ceara
14-08-2022	Brazil Serie A 2022	Ceara	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Fortaleza EC
01-06-2022	Brazil Serie A 2022	Fortaleza EC	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Ceara

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		29-11-2025
Ceara	- (HT -)	Fortaleza EC
Brazil Serie A		14-07-2025
Fortaleza EC	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Ceara
Brazil Serie A		14-08-2022
Ceara	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Fortaleza EC
Brazil Serie A		01-06-2022
Fortaleza EC	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Ceara