Football Prediction: Fortaleza EC vs Gremio

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

1.63
L L L L D L

SCHEDULED -

1.38

D D W L L W

Kick Off: 03-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Fortaleza EC and Gremio face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Wednesday 3rd of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Fortaleza EC have scored an average of 1.42 goals and conceded average of 1.42 goals while Gremio scored 1.03 goals and conceded 1.42 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Fortaleza EC vs Gremio is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.83%

Head to Head Record - Fortaleza EC vs. Gremio

Date	Competition	Match
03-12-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Fortaleza EC	- (HT -)	Gremio
30-07-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Gremio	2-1 (HT 2-1)	Fortaleza EC
05-10-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Gremio	3-1 (HT 1-1)	Fortaleza EC
20-06-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Fortaleza EC	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Gremio
30-09-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Fortaleza EC	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Gremio
14-05-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Gremio	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Fortaleza EC

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		03-12-2025
Fortaleza EC	- (HT -)	Gremio
Brazil Serie A		30-07-2025
Gremio	2-1 (HT 2-1)	Fortaleza EC
Brazil Serie A		05-10-2024
Gremio	3-1 (HT 1-1)	Fortaleza EC
Brazil Serie A		20-06-2024
Fortaleza EC	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Gremio
Brazil Serie A		30-09-2023
Fortaleza EC	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Gremio
Brazil Serie A		14-05-2023
Gremio	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Fortaleza EC