Football Prediction: Bahia vs Fortaleza EC

Bahia vs Fortaleza EC

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

1.47
W D W W W L

SCHEDULED -

0.60

L W D L L L

Kick Off: 06-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Bahia and Fortaleza EC face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 6th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bahia have scored an average of 1.47 goals and conceded average of 1.47 goals while Fortaleza EC scored 1.01 goals and conceded 1.45 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bahia vs Fortaleza EC is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 65.53%

Head to Head Record - Bahia vs. Fortaleza EC

Date	Competition	Match
06-12-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Bahia	- (HT -)	Fortaleza EC
19-07-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Fortaleza EC	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Bahia
22-09-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Fortaleza EC	4-1 (HT 2-1)	Bahia
14-06-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Bahia	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Fortaleza EC
21-10-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Bahia	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Fortaleza EC
03-06-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Fortaleza EC	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Bahia

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		06-12-2025
Bahia	- (HT -)	Fortaleza EC
Brazil Serie A		19-07-2025
Fortaleza EC	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		22-09-2024
Fortaleza EC	4-1 (HT 2-1)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		14-06-2024
Bahia	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Fortaleza EC
Brazil Serie A		21-10-2023
Bahia	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Fortaleza EC
Brazil Serie A		03-06-2023
Fortaleza EC	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Bahia