Thursday 31st of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

This is Logo of Home Team: Bahia 1.56
W D W W W L
SCHEDULED -
0.88 This is Logo of Away Team: Vasco DA Gama
D D L W L L
Kick Off: 10-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - 1 Home WIN
Bahia and Vasco DA Gama face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Wednesday 10th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.67 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bahia have scored an average of 1.47 goals and conceded average of 1.47 goals while Vasco DA Gama scored 0.84 goals and conceded 1.53 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.99%

Head to Head Record - Bahia vs. Vasco DA Gama

Date Competition Match
10-12-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Bahia - (HT -) Vasco DA Gama
24-07-2025 Brazil Serie A 2025 Vasco DA Gama - (HT -) Bahia
29-10-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Vasco DA Gama 3-2 (HT 3-1) Bahia
27-06-2024 Brazil Serie A 2024 Bahia 2-1 (HT 1-1) Vasco DA Gama
03-09-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Bahia 1-1 (HT 1-0) Vasco DA Gama
01-05-2023 Brazil Serie A 2023 Vasco DA Gama 0-1 (HT 0-1) Bahia
28-08-2022 Brazil Serie B 2022 Bahia 2-1 (HT 2-1) Vasco DA Gama
15-05-2022 Brazil Serie B 2022 Vasco DA Gama 1-0 (HT 1-0) Bahia
Competition Date
Brazil Serie A 10-12-2025
Bahia - (HT -) Vasco DA Gama
Brazil Serie A 24-07-2025
Vasco DA Gama - (HT -) Bahia
Brazil Serie A 29-10-2024
Vasco DA Gama 3-2 (HT 3-1) Bahia
Brazil Serie A 27-06-2024
Bahia 2-1 (HT 1-1) Vasco DA Gama
Brazil Serie A 03-09-2023
Bahia 1-1 (HT 1-0) Vasco DA Gama
Brazil Serie A 01-05-2023
Vasco DA Gama 0-1 (HT 0-1) Bahia
Brazil Serie B 28-08-2022
Bahia 2-1 (HT 2-1) Vasco DA Gama
Brazil Serie B 15-05-2022
Vasco DA Gama 1-0 (HT 1-0) Bahia