Football Prediction: Flamengo vs Ceara

Flamengo vs Ceara

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

1.38
W L D W W W

SCHEDULED -

0.93

W L L W D W

Kick Off: 17-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Flamengo and Ceara face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Wednesday 17th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Flamengo have scored an average of 1.88 goals and conceded average of 1.88 goals while Ceara scored 1.02 goals and conceded 1.27 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Flamengo vs Ceara is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 59.28%

Head to Head Record - Flamengo vs. Ceara

Date	Competition	Match
17-12-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Flamengo	- (HT -)	Ceara
03-08-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Ceara	- (HT -)	Flamengo
04-09-2022	Brazil Serie A 2022	Flamengo	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Ceara
14-05-2022	Brazil Serie A 2022	Ceara	2-2 (HT 1-2)	Flamengo

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		17-12-2025
Flamengo	- (HT -)	Ceara
Brazil Serie A		03-08-2025
Ceara	- (HT -)	Flamengo
Brazil Serie A		04-09-2022
Flamengo	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Ceara
Brazil Serie A		14-05-2022
Ceara	2-2 (HT 1-2)	Flamengo