Football Prediction: Bahia vs Sport Recife

Bahia vs Sport Recife

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

1.21
W W W L L W

SCHEDULED -

0.54

L D L L L D

Kick Off: 17-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Bahia and Sport Recife face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Wednesday 17th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bahia have scored an average of 1.45 goals and conceded average of 1.45 goals while Sport Recife scored 0.79 goals and conceded 1.19 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bahia vs Sport Recife is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 74.44%

Head to Head Record - Bahia vs. Sport Recife

Date	Competition	Match
17-12-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Bahia	- (HT -)	Sport Recife
02-08-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Sport Recife	- (HT -)	Bahia
12-09-2022	Brazil Serie B 2022	Sport Recife	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Bahia
09-06-2022	Brazil Serie B 2022	Bahia	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Sport Recife

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		17-12-2025
Bahia	- (HT -)	Sport Recife
Brazil Serie A		02-08-2025
Sport Recife	- (HT -)	Bahia
Brazil Serie B		12-09-2022
Sport Recife	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Bahia
Brazil Serie B		09-06-2022
Bahia	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Sport Recife