Football Prediction: Vitoria vs Sao Paulo

Vitoria vs Sao Paulo

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas

1.44
D L D D D W

SCHEDULED -

1.99

D D W W W W

Kick Off: 21-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Away WIN

Vitoria and Sao Paulo face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Sunday 21st of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 3.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Vitoria have scored an average of 1.35 goals and conceded average of 1.35 goals while Sao Paulo scored 1.03 goals and conceded 1.14 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Vitoria vs Sao Paulo is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.27%

Head to Head Record - Vitoria vs. Sao Paulo

Date	Competition	Match
21-12-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Vitoria	- (HT -)	Sao Paulo
09-08-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Sao Paulo	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Vitoria
25-08-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Sao Paulo	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Vitoria
05-05-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Vitoria	1-3 (HT 0-1)	Sao Paulo

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		21-12-2025
Vitoria	- (HT -)	Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A		09-08-2025
Sao Paulo	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Vitoria
Brazil Serie A		25-08-2024
Sao Paulo	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Vitoria
Brazil Serie A		05-05-2024
Vitoria	1-3 (HT 0-1)	Sao Paulo