Football Prediction: Sport Recife vs Gremio

Sport Recife vs Gremio

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

1.06
L D L L L D

SCHEDULED -

0.62

L D W W L D

Kick Off: 21-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Sport Recife and Gremio face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Sunday 21st of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Sport Recife have scored an average of 1.74 goals and conceded average of 1.74 goals while Gremio scored 1.03 goals and conceded 1.45 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Sport Recife vs Gremio is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 76.23%

Head to Head Record - Sport Recife vs. Gremio

Date	Competition	Match
21-12-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Sport Recife	- (HT -)	Gremio
09-08-2025	Brazil Serie A 2025	Gremio	- (HT -)	Sport Recife
20-09-2022	Brazil Serie B 2022	Gremio	3-0 (HT 0-0)	Sport Recife
13-06-2022	Brazil Serie B 2022	Sport Recife	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Gremio

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		21-12-2025
Sport Recife	- (HT -)	Gremio
Brazil Serie A		09-08-2025
Gremio	- (HT -)	Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B		20-09-2022
Gremio	3-0 (HT 0-0)	Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B		13-06-2022
Sport Recife	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Gremio