Football Prediction: Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova

Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Arena NicNet

0.86
D W W L D D

SCHEDULED -

1.10

W W L L L L

Kick Off: 23-08-2025 22:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Botafogo SP and Vila Nova face each other in the Brazil Serie B match on Saturday 23rd of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Botafogo SP have scored an average of 0.76 goals and conceded average of 0.76 goals while Vila Nova scored 0.86 goals and conceded 1.32 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 68.75%

Head to Head Record - Botafogo SP vs. Vila Nova

Date	Competition	Match
23-08-2025	Brazil Serie B 2025	Botafogo SP	- (HT -)	Vila Nova
20-04-2025	Brazil Serie B 2025	Vila Nova	2-0 (HT 2-0)	Botafogo SP
28-09-2024	Brazil Serie B 2024	Vila Nova	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Botafogo SP
16-06-2024	Brazil Serie B 2024	Botafogo SP	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Vila Nova
12-10-2023	Brazil Serie B 2023	Vila Nova	3-1 (HT 2-0)	Botafogo SP
24-06-2023	Brazil Serie B 2023	Botafogo SP	0-3 (HT 0-2)	Vila Nova

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie B		23-08-2025
Botafogo SP	- (HT -)	Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B		20-04-2025
Vila Nova	2-0 (HT 2-0)	Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B		28-09-2024
Vila Nova	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B		16-06-2024
Botafogo SP	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B		12-10-2023
Vila Nova	3-1 (HT 2-0)	Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B		24-06-2023
Botafogo SP	0-3 (HT 0-2)	Vila Nova