Football Prediction: Ferroviária vs Novorizontino

Ferroviária vs Novorizontino

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros

0.76
L L W L L D

SCHEDULED -

0.64

D D L W W W

Kick Off: 20-09-2025 22:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Ferroviária and Novorizontino face each other in the Brazil Serie B match on Saturday 20th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Ferroviária have scored an average of 1.29 goals and conceded average of 1.29 goals while Novorizontino scored 0.91 goals and conceded 1.00 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Ferroviária vs Novorizontino is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 83.40%

Head to Head Record - Ferroviária vs. Novorizontino

Date	Competition	Match
20-09-2025	Brazil Serie B 2025	Ferroviária	- (HT -)	Novorizontino
11-05-2025	Brazil Serie B 2025	Novorizontino	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Ferroviária

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie B		20-09-2025
Ferroviária	- (HT -)	Novorizontino
Brazil Serie B		11-05-2025
Novorizontino	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Ferroviária