Football Prediction: Atletico Paranaense vs Vila Nova

Atletico Paranaense vs Vila Nova

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Ligga Arena

0.95
L W L W W L

SCHEDULED -

0.59

D W W L L L

Kick Off: 24-09-2025 22:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Atletico Paranaense and Vila Nova face each other in the Brazil Serie B match on Wednesday 24th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Atletico Paranaense have scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded average of 1.53 goals while Vila Nova scored 0.86 goals and conceded 1.32 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Atletico Paranaense vs Vila Nova is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 79.77%

Head to Head Record - Atletico Paranaense vs. Vila Nova

Date	Competition	Match
24-09-2025	Brazil Serie B 2025	Atletico Paranaense	- (HT -)	Vila Nova
17-05-2025	Brazil Serie B 2025	Vila Nova	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Atletico Paranaense

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie B		24-09-2025
Atletico Paranaense	- (HT -)	Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B		17-05-2025
Vila Nova	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Atletico Paranaense