Football Prediction: Avai vs Coritiba

Avai vs Coritiba

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva

1.48
D W L D W L

SCHEDULED -

0.81

W W W W D D

Kick Off: 04-10-2025 22:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Avai and Coritiba face each other in the Brazil Serie B match on Saturday 4th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Avai have scored an average of 1.09 goals and conceded average of 1.09 goals while Coritiba scored 0.89 goals and conceded 1.83 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Avai vs Coritiba is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.04%

Head to Head Record - Avai vs. Coritiba

Date	Competition	Match
04-10-2025	Brazil Serie B 2025	Avai	- (HT -)	Coritiba
31-05-2025	Brazil Serie B 2025	Coritiba	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Avai
28-08-2024	Brazil Serie B 2024	Coritiba	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Avai
12-05-2024	Brazil Serie B 2024	Avai	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Coritiba
27-08-2022	Brazil Serie A 2022	Coritiba	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Avai
09-05-2022	Brazil Serie A 2022	Avai	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Coritiba

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie B		04-10-2025
Avai	- (HT -)	Coritiba
Brazil Serie B		31-05-2025
Coritiba	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Avai
Brazil Serie B		28-08-2024
Coritiba	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Avai
Brazil Serie B		12-05-2024
Avai	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Coritiba
Brazil Serie A		27-08-2022
Coritiba	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Avai
Brazil Serie A		09-05-2022
Avai	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Coritiba