Football Prediction: America Mineiro vs Vila Nova

America Mineiro vs Vila Nova

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Raimundo Sampaio

1.90
L W D W W L

SCHEDULED -

1.02

W W L L L L

Kick Off: 11-10-2025 22:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

America Mineiro and Vila Nova face each other in the Brazil Serie B match on Saturday 11th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches America Mineiro have scored an average of 1.36 goals and conceded average of 1.36 goals while Vila Nova scored 0.86 goals and conceded 1.32 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for America Mineiro vs Vila Nova is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.79%

Head to Head Record - America Mineiro vs. Vila Nova

Date	Competition	Match
11-10-2025	Brazil Serie B 2025	America Mineiro	- (HT -)	Vila Nova
14-06-2025	Brazil Serie B 2025	Vila Nova	0-3 (HT 0-0)	America Mineiro
25-08-2024	Brazil Serie B 2024	Vila Nova	1-0 (HT 0-0)	America Mineiro
09-05-2024	Brazil Serie B 2024	America Mineiro	3-1 (HT 2-1)	Vila Nova

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie B		11-10-2025
America Mineiro	- (HT -)	Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B		14-06-2025
Vila Nova	0-3 (HT 0-0)	America Mineiro
Brazil Serie B		25-08-2024
Vila Nova	1-0 (HT 0-0)	America Mineiro
Brazil Serie B		09-05-2024
America Mineiro	3-1 (HT 2-1)	Vila Nova