Friday 14th of March 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Stoke City vs Derby

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: bet365 Stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Stoke City 1.39
W L D L L W
Full Time 2-1
1.19 This is Logo of Away Team: Derby
W W L L L D
Kick Off: 02-11-2024 13:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Stoke City and Derby face each other in the England Championship match on Saturday 2nd of November 2024. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.25 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Stoke City have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Derby scored 1.18 goals and conceded 1.35 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Stoke City vs Derby is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 52.19%

Head to Head Record - Stoke City vs. Derby

Date Competition Match
03-05-2025 England Championship 2024 Derby - (HT -) Stoke City
02-11-2024 England Championship 2024 Stoke City 2-1 (HT 1-0) Derby
30-12-2021 England Championship 2021 Stoke City 1-2 (HT 0-1) Derby
18-09-2021 England Championship 2021 Derby 2-1 (HT 2-0) Stoke City
20-03-2021 England Championship 2020 Stoke City 1-0 (HT 0-0) Derby
12-12-2020 England Championship 2020 Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Stoke City
31-01-2020 England Championship 2019 Derby 4-0 (HT 2-0) Stoke City
17-08-2019 England Championship 2019 Stoke City 2-2 (HT 1-1) Derby
13-03-2019 England Championship 2018 Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Stoke City
28-11-2018 England Championship 2018 Stoke City 2-1 (HT 1-0) Derby
Competition Date
England Championship 03-05-2025
Derby - (HT -) Stoke City
England Championship 02-11-2024
Stoke City 2-1 (HT 1-0) Derby
England Championship 30-12-2021
Stoke City 1-2 (HT 0-1) Derby
England Championship 18-09-2021
Derby 2-1 (HT 2-0) Stoke City
England Championship 20-03-2021
Stoke City 1-0 (HT 0-0) Derby
England Championship 12-12-2020
Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Stoke City
England Championship 31-01-2020
Derby 4-0 (HT 2-0) Stoke City
England Championship 17-08-2019
Stoke City 2-2 (HT 1-1) Derby
England Championship 13-03-2019
Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Stoke City
England Championship 28-11-2018
Stoke City 2-1 (HT 1-0) Derby