Monday 13th of January 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Burnley vs Derby

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Turf Moor

This is Logo of Home Team: Burnley 1.55
D W D D W W
Full Time 0-0
0.84 This is Logo of Away Team: Derby
L L L W L W
Kick Off: 10-12-2024 20:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - 1 Home WIN
Burnley and Derby face each other in the England Championship match on Tuesday 10th of December 2024. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.25 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Burnley have scored an average of 1.28 goals and conceded average of 1.28 goals while Derby scored 1.18 goals and conceded 1.35 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Burnley vs Derby is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.36%

Head to Head Record - Burnley vs. Derby

Date Competition Match
09-04-2025 England Championship 2024 Derby - (HT -) Burnley
10-12-2024 England Championship 2024 Burnley 0-0 (HT 0-0) Derby
25-01-2016 England Championship 2015 Burnley 4-1 (HT 1-1) Derby
21-09-2015 England Championship 2015 Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Burnley
01-03-2014 England Championship 2013 Burnley 2-0 (HT 1-0) Derby
31-08-2013 England Championship 2013 Derby 0-3 (HT 0-2) Burnley
26-12-2012 England Championship 2012 Burnley 2-0 (HT 1-0) Derby
22-09-2012 England Championship 2012 Derby 1-2 (HT 1-1) Burnley
21-01-2012 England Championship 2011 Burnley 0-0 (HT 0-0) Derby
27-08-2011 England Championship 2011 Derby 1-2 (HT 0-0) Burnley
Competition Date
England Championship 09-04-2025
Derby - (HT -) Burnley
England Championship 10-12-2024
Burnley 0-0 (HT 0-0) Derby
England Championship 25-01-2016
Burnley 4-1 (HT 1-1) Derby
England Championship 21-09-2015
Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Burnley
England Championship 01-03-2014
Burnley 2-0 (HT 1-0) Derby
England Championship 31-08-2013
Derby 0-3 (HT 0-2) Burnley
England Championship 26-12-2012
Burnley 2-0 (HT 1-0) Derby
England Championship 22-09-2012
Derby 1-2 (HT 1-1) Burnley
England Championship 21-01-2012
Burnley 0-0 (HT 0-0) Derby
England Championship 27-08-2011
Derby 1-2 (HT 0-0) Burnley