Football Prediction: Leeds vs Middlesbrough

Leeds vs Middlesbrough

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Elland Road

1.39
W D D W W W

Full Time 3-1

1.12

L D W D D D

Kick Off: 10-12-2024 21:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Leeds and Middlesbrough face each other in the England Championship match on Tuesday 10th of December 2024. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.40 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.90 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Leeds have scored an average of 1.45 goals and conceded average of 1.45 goals while Middlesbrough scored 1.28 goals and conceded 1.33 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Leeds vs Middlesbrough is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 54.10%

Head to Head Record - Leeds vs. Middlesbrough

Date	Competition	Match
08-04-2025	England Championship 2024	Middlesbrough	- (HT -)	Leeds
10-12-2024	England Championship 2024	Leeds	3-1 (HT 1-0)	Middlesbrough
14-08-2024	England League Cup 2024	Leeds	0-3 (HT 0-0)	Middlesbrough
22-04-2024	England Championship 2023	Middlesbrough	3-4 (HT 2-3)	Leeds
02-12-2023	England Championship 2023	Leeds	3-2 (HT 3-2)	Middlesbrough
26-02-2020	England Championship 2019	Middlesbrough	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Leeds
30-11-2019	England Championship 2019	Leeds	4-0 (HT 2-0)	Middlesbrough
09-02-2019	England Championship 2018	Middlesbrough	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Leeds
31-08-2018	England Championship 2018	Leeds	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Middlesbrough
02-03-2018	England Championship 2017	Middlesbrough	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Leeds
19-11-2017	England Championship 2017	Leeds	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Middlesbrough
15-02-2016	England Championship 2015	Leeds	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Middlesbrough
27-09-2015	England Championship 2015	Middlesbrough	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Leeds
21-02-2015	England Championship 2014	Middlesbrough	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Leeds
16-08-2014	England Championship 2014	Leeds	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Middlesbrough
22-02-2014	England Championship 2013	Middlesbrough	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Leeds
23-11-2013	England Championship 2013	Leeds	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Middlesbrough
12-02-2013	England Championship 2012	Middlesbrough	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Leeds
22-12-2012	England Championship 2012	Leeds	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Middlesbrough
11-03-2012	England Championship 2011	Middlesbrough	0-2 (HT 0-2)	Leeds
13-08-2011	England Championship 2011	Leeds	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Middlesbrough

Competition		Date
England Championship		08-04-2025
Middlesbrough	- (HT -)	Leeds
England Championship		10-12-2024
Leeds	3-1 (HT 1-0)	Middlesbrough
England League Cup		14-08-2024
Leeds	0-3 (HT 0-0)	Middlesbrough
England Championship		22-04-2024
Middlesbrough	3-4 (HT 2-3)	Leeds
England Championship		02-12-2023
Leeds	3-2 (HT 3-2)	Middlesbrough
England Championship		26-02-2020
Middlesbrough	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Leeds
England Championship		30-11-2019
Leeds	4-0 (HT 2-0)	Middlesbrough
England Championship		09-02-2019
Middlesbrough	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Leeds
England Championship		31-08-2018
Leeds	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Middlesbrough
England Championship		02-03-2018
Middlesbrough	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Leeds
England Championship		19-11-2017
Leeds	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Middlesbrough
England Championship		15-02-2016
Leeds	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Middlesbrough
England Championship		27-09-2015
Middlesbrough	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Leeds
England Championship		21-02-2015
Middlesbrough	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Leeds
England Championship		16-08-2014
Leeds	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Middlesbrough
England Championship		22-02-2014
Middlesbrough	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Leeds
England Championship		23-11-2013
Leeds	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Middlesbrough
England Championship		12-02-2013
Middlesbrough	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Leeds
England Championship		22-12-2012
Leeds	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Middlesbrough
England Championship		11-03-2012
Middlesbrough	0-2 (HT 0-2)	Leeds
England Championship		13-08-2011
Leeds	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Middlesbrough