Wednesday 2nd of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Bristol City vs Derby

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Ashton Gate Stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Bristol City 1.39
L L D L L W
Full Time 1-0
1.26 This is Logo of Away Team: Derby
D W W L D D
Kick Off: 04-01-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Bristol City and Derby face each other in the England Championship match on Saturday 4th of January 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.44 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.33 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bristol City have scored an average of 1.36 goals and conceded average of 1.36 goals while Derby scored 1.17 goals and conceded 1.36 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bristol City vs Derby is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.77%

Head to Head Record - Bristol City vs. Derby

Date Competition Match
31-01-2026 England Championship 2025 Bristol City - (HT -) Derby
23-08-2025 England Championship 2025 Derby - (HT -) Bristol City
04-01-2025 England Championship 2024 Bristol City 1-0 (HT 1-0) Derby
31-08-2024 England Championship 2024 Derby 3-0 (HT 1-0) Bristol City
23-04-2022 England Championship 2021 Derby 1-3 (HT 0-2) Bristol City
04-12-2021 England Championship 2021 Bristol City 1-0 (HT 1-0) Derby
30-01-2021 England Championship 2020 Derby 1-0 (HT 1-0) Bristol City
21-11-2020 England Championship 2020 Bristol City 1-0 (HT 0-0) Derby
12-02-2020 England Championship 2019 Bristol City 3-2 (HT 2-0) Derby
20-08-2019 England Championship 2019 Derby 1-2 (HT 0-2) Bristol City
27-04-2019 England Championship 2018 Bristol City 0-2 (HT 0-1) Derby
22-12-2018 England Championship 2018 Derby 1-1 (HT 1-1) Bristol City
19-01-2018 England Championship 2017 Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Bristol City
16-09-2017 England Championship 2017 Bristol City 4-1 (HT 0-1) Derby
11-02-2017 England Championship 2016 Derby 3-3 (HT 0-3) Bristol City
17-09-2016 England Championship 2016 Bristol City 1-1 (HT 0-1) Derby
19-04-2016 England Championship 2015 Bristol City 2-3 (HT 2-1) Derby
15-12-2015 England Championship 2015 Derby 4-0 (HT 1-0) Bristol City
29-03-2013 England Championship 2012 Derby 3-0 (HT 1-0) Bristol City
15-12-2012 England Championship 2012 Bristol City 0-2 (HT 0-2) Derby
31-03-2012 England Championship 2011 Bristol City 1-1 (HT 0-1) Derby
10-12-2011 England Championship 2011 Derby 2-1 (HT 0-0) Bristol City
Competition Date
England Championship 31-01-2026
Bristol City - (HT -) Derby
England Championship 23-08-2025
Derby - (HT -) Bristol City
England Championship 04-01-2025
Bristol City 1-0 (HT 1-0) Derby
England Championship 31-08-2024
Derby 3-0 (HT 1-0) Bristol City
England Championship 23-04-2022
Derby 1-3 (HT 0-2) Bristol City
England Championship 04-12-2021
Bristol City 1-0 (HT 1-0) Derby
England Championship 30-01-2021
Derby 1-0 (HT 1-0) Bristol City
England Championship 21-11-2020
Bristol City 1-0 (HT 0-0) Derby
England Championship 12-02-2020
Bristol City 3-2 (HT 2-0) Derby
England Championship 20-08-2019
Derby 1-2 (HT 0-2) Bristol City
England Championship 27-04-2019
Bristol City 0-2 (HT 0-1) Derby
England Championship 22-12-2018
Derby 1-1 (HT 1-1) Bristol City
England Championship 19-01-2018
Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Bristol City
England Championship 16-09-2017
Bristol City 4-1 (HT 0-1) Derby
England Championship 11-02-2017
Derby 3-3 (HT 0-3) Bristol City
England Championship 17-09-2016
Bristol City 1-1 (HT 0-1) Derby
England Championship 19-04-2016
Bristol City 2-3 (HT 2-1) Derby
England Championship 15-12-2015
Derby 4-0 (HT 1-0) Bristol City
England Championship 29-03-2013
Derby 3-0 (HT 1-0) Bristol City
England Championship 15-12-2012
Bristol City 0-2 (HT 0-2) Derby
England Championship 31-03-2012
Bristol City 1-1 (HT 0-1) Derby
England Championship 10-12-2011
Derby 2-1 (HT 0-0) Bristol City