Football Prediction: Derby vs Oxford United

Derby vs Oxford United

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Pride Park Stadium

1.34
W W W L L L

Full Time 0-0

1.05

W L D L L L

Kick Off: 11-02-2025 20:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Derby and Oxford United face each other in the England Championship match on Tuesday 11th of February 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Derby have scored an average of 1.58 goals and conceded average of 1.58 goals while Oxford United scored 1.20 goals and conceded 1.43 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Derby vs Oxford United is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.30%

Head to Head Record - Derby vs. Oxford United

Date	Competition	Match
11-02-2025	England Championship 2024	Derby	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Oxford United
22-10-2024	England Championship 2024	Oxford United	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Derby
29-12-2023	England League One 2023	Oxford United	2-3 (HT 2-1)	Derby
15-08-2023	England League One 2023	Derby	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Oxford United
11-03-2023	England League One 2022	Oxford United	2-3 (HT 1-2)	Derby
30-07-2022	England League One 2022	Derby	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Oxford United

Competition		Date
England Championship		11-02-2025
Derby	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Oxford United
England Championship		22-10-2024
Oxford United	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Derby
England League One		29-12-2023
Oxford United	2-3 (HT 2-1)	Derby
England League One		15-08-2023
Derby	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Oxford United
England League One		11-03-2023
Oxford United	2-3 (HT 1-2)	Derby
England League One		30-07-2022
Derby	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Oxford United