Thursday 20th of March 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Swansea vs Derby

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Swansea.com Stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Swansea 1.49
L L W D W L
SCHEDULED -
1.28 This is Logo of Away Team: Derby
W W W L L L
Kick Off: 05-04-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Swansea and Derby face each other in the England Championship match on Saturday 5th of April 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.75 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Swansea have scored an average of 1.36 goals and conceded average of 1.36 goals while Derby scored 1.17 goals and conceded 1.37 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Swansea vs Derby is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52.50%

Head to Head Record - Swansea vs. Derby

Date Competition Match
05-04-2025 England Championship 2024 Swansea - (HT -) Derby
27-11-2024 England Championship 2024 Derby 1-2 (HT 0-2) Swansea
09-04-2022 England Championship 2021 Swansea 2-1 (HT 2-1) Derby
02-10-2021 England Championship 2021 Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Swansea
01-05-2021 England Championship 2020 Swansea 2-1 (HT 0-0) Derby
16-12-2020 England Championship 2020 Derby 2-0 (HT 2-0) Swansea
08-02-2020 England Championship 2019 Swansea 2-3 (HT 0-1) Derby
10-08-2019 England Championship 2019 Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Swansea
01-05-2019 England Championship 2018 Swansea 1-1 (HT 0-1) Derby
01-12-2018 England Championship 2018 Derby 2-1 (HT 2-0) Swansea
Competition Date
England Championship 05-04-2025
Swansea - (HT -) Derby
England Championship 27-11-2024
Derby 1-2 (HT 0-2) Swansea
England Championship 09-04-2022
Swansea 2-1 (HT 2-1) Derby
England Championship 02-10-2021
Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Swansea
England Championship 01-05-2021
Swansea 2-1 (HT 0-0) Derby
England Championship 16-12-2020
Derby 2-0 (HT 2-0) Swansea
England Championship 08-02-2020
Swansea 2-3 (HT 0-1) Derby
England Championship 10-08-2019
Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Swansea
England Championship 01-05-2019
Swansea 1-1 (HT 0-1) Derby
England Championship 01-12-2018
Derby 2-1 (HT 2-0) Swansea