Wednesday 19th of March 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Derby vs Stoke City

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Pride Park Stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Derby 1.52
W W W L L L
SCHEDULED -
0.71 This is Logo of Away Team: Stoke City
L W L D L L
Kick Off: 03-05-2025 13:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - 1 Home WIN
Derby and Stoke City face each other in the England Championship match on Saturday 3rd of May 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.25 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Derby have scored an average of 1.58 goals and conceded average of 1.58 goals while Stoke City scored 0.95 goals and conceded 1.47 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Derby vs Stoke City is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 61.43%

Head to Head Record - Derby vs. Stoke City

Date Competition Match
03-05-2025 England Championship 2024 Derby - (HT -) Stoke City
02-11-2024 England Championship 2024 Stoke City 2-1 (HT 1-0) Derby
30-12-2021 England Championship 2021 Stoke City 1-2 (HT 0-1) Derby
18-09-2021 England Championship 2021 Derby 2-1 (HT 2-0) Stoke City
20-03-2021 England Championship 2020 Stoke City 1-0 (HT 0-0) Derby
12-12-2020 England Championship 2020 Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Stoke City
31-01-2020 England Championship 2019 Derby 4-0 (HT 2-0) Stoke City
17-08-2019 England Championship 2019 Stoke City 2-2 (HT 1-1) Derby
13-03-2019 England Championship 2018 Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Stoke City
28-11-2018 England Championship 2018 Stoke City 2-1 (HT 1-0) Derby
Competition Date
England Championship 03-05-2025
Derby - (HT -) Stoke City
England Championship 02-11-2024
Stoke City 2-1 (HT 1-0) Derby
England Championship 30-12-2021
Stoke City 1-2 (HT 0-1) Derby
England Championship 18-09-2021
Derby 2-1 (HT 2-0) Stoke City
England Championship 20-03-2021
Stoke City 1-0 (HT 0-0) Derby
England Championship 12-12-2020
Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Stoke City
England Championship 31-01-2020
Derby 4-0 (HT 2-0) Stoke City
England Championship 17-08-2019
Stoke City 2-2 (HT 1-1) Derby
England Championship 13-03-2019
Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Stoke City
England Championship 28-11-2018
Stoke City 2-1 (HT 1-0) Derby