Football Prediction: Bristol City vs Oxford United

Bristol City vs Oxford United

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Ashton Gate

2.10
W L D D W W

SCHEDULED -

1.14

D L L L W L

Kick Off: 21-09-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Bristol City and Oxford United face each other in the England Championship match on Sunday 21st of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bristol City have scored an average of 1.37 goals and conceded average of 1.37 goals while Oxford United scored 1.18 goals and conceded 1.44 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bristol City vs Oxford United is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62.94%

Head to Head Record - Bristol City vs. Oxford United

Date	Competition	Match
17-01-2026	England Championship 2025	Oxford United	- (HT -)	Bristol City
21-09-2025	England Championship 2025	Bristol City	- (HT -)	Oxford United
01-02-2025	England Championship 2024	Oxford United	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Bristol City
21-09-2024	England Championship 2024	Bristol City	2-1 (HT 0-1)	Oxford United
09-08-2023	England League Cup 2023	Bristol City	5-1 (HT 2-1)	Oxford United

Competition		Date
England Championship		17-01-2026
Oxford United	- (HT -)	Bristol City
England Championship		21-09-2025
Bristol City	- (HT -)	Oxford United
England Championship		01-02-2025
Oxford United	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Bristol City
England Championship		21-09-2024
Bristol City	2-1 (HT 0-1)	Oxford United
England League Cup		09-08-2023
Bristol City	5-1 (HT 2-1)	Oxford United