Saturday 9th of August 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Southampton vs Middlesbrough

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: St Marys Stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Southampton 1.50
W L L D L L
SCHEDULED -
0.99 This is Logo of Away Team: Middlesbrough
W L D L W L
Kick Off: 27-09-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - 1 Home WIN
Southampton and Middlesbrough face each other in the England Championship match on Saturday 27th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.67 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.33 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Southampton have scored an average of 1.50 goals and conceded average of 1.50 goals while Middlesbrough scored 1.27 goals and conceded 1.34 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Southampton vs Middlesbrough is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 54.59%

Head to Head Record - Southampton vs. Middlesbrough

Date Competition Match
04-01-2026 England Championship 2025 Middlesbrough - (HT -) Southampton
27-09-2025 England Championship 2025 Southampton - (HT -) Middlesbrough
29-03-2024 England Championship 2023 Southampton 1-1 (HT 1-0) Middlesbrough
23-09-2023 England Championship 2023 Middlesbrough 2-1 (HT 1-1) Southampton
13-05-2017 England Premier League 2016 Middlesbrough 1-2 (HT 0-1) Southampton
11-12-2016 England Premier League 2016 Southampton 1-0 (HT 0-0) Middlesbrough
21-04-2012 England Championship 2011 Middlesbrough 2-1 (HT 1-1) Southampton
29-10-2011 England Championship 2011 Southampton 3-0 (HT 2-0) Middlesbrough
Competition Date
England Championship 04-01-2026
Middlesbrough - (HT -) Southampton
England Championship 27-09-2025
Southampton - (HT -) Middlesbrough
England Championship 29-03-2024
Southampton 1-1 (HT 1-0) Middlesbrough
England Championship 23-09-2023
Middlesbrough 2-1 (HT 1-1) Southampton
England Premier League 13-05-2017
Middlesbrough 1-2 (HT 0-1) Southampton
England Premier League 11-12-2016
Southampton 1-0 (HT 0-0) Middlesbrough
England Championship 21-04-2012
Middlesbrough 2-1 (HT 1-1) Southampton
England Championship 29-10-2011
Southampton 3-0 (HT 2-0) Middlesbrough